ArtemisThermalBase 0.5.0
Source

09 · Limitations

Validation and limitations

What has been checked, what has not, and the assumptions that bound every result.

What is checked

These run on every change, on Windows and Linux:

  • Geometry. Rotations are proper (determinant +1); the map projection matches PROJ; our grid frame agrees with the one built from the DEM’s own CRS through rasterio; our IAU lunar orientation agrees with SPICE MOON_ME to 0.01°; the Sun elevation over Shackleton on 2025-01-01 matches a stored SPICE reference to 10⁻⁶°.
  • Ray tracing. Ray–triangle and ray–box edge cases; the compiled BVH gives bit-identical shadow maps to the earlier Python builder; shadows move the right way with Sun elevation and azimuth.
  • Heat conduction. Energy balance over a lunar cycle; stability at very low and very high temperatures; decay of the thermal wave with depth; the geothermal flux enters once; batched and single-column solvers agree.
  • Sublimation. Vapour pressure and mass flux against reference values.
  • Pipeline. Run folders round-trip; incomplete folders are reported; research mode refuses synthetic terrain, unverified DEMs and non-SPICE Suns; the installed command runs from outside the source tree; the desktop app opens a run, inspects a site and runs a simulation in its worker process.

What is not

There is no comparison with LRO Diviner yet. Diviner measured surface brightness temperatures over the poles for more than a decade, and it is the obvious reference. A fair comparison needs the instrument’s footprint, local time and emission angle for each observation, and the channel-to-bolometric conversion; that work is open. The function that computes bias and RMSE while ignoring Diviner’s missing-data values (artemis_thermal/validation/diviner.py) exists and is tested, the rest does not.

Until it is done, treat absolute temperatures as model output with the uncertainties below, and differences between runs (one setting changed) as the stronger result.

Assumptions

assumption effect how large
No lateral heat flow between columns shadow edges too sharp in temperature negligible for cells ≫ 10 cm
One bounce of terrain infrared, gray crater floors too cold; no reflected infrared, no scattered sunlight floors without IR sit near 21 K
Uniform regolith (Hayne 2017 profile) everywhere no rocks, no ice-filled pores local, unknown
Equatorial geothermal flux at the pole deep temperatures ±50 % on 18 mW m⁻²
Hapke parameters of mature highlands absorbed sunlight a few per cent
Simplified roughness emissivity emission Δε < 0.02
Sphere, not ellipsoid; DEM from LOLA 118 m resampled geometry sub-pixel
No Earthshine, no dust night-side heating Earthshine is at most about 0.1 W m⁻²

Numerical choices

choice default how we know it is enough
time step 300 s 0.13 K from a 30 s reference over a lunar day (table)
depth grid 100 layers to 6.2 m below the annual skin depth; tested wave decay
solar disk samples 16 64 for research; a refinement sweep is part of any publication
view-factor rays 128 512 for research; reciprocity reported per run
spin-up 0 (preview) research mode requires 3 lunar days and reports the last change

A result you intend to publish needs its own convergence sweep in these parameters. One run is not evidence of convergence.